Pretty Ferro, Indistinguishable or New Shooter?

                                The BEL – GI
                      BEL 11 Race 1 1/2 – Dirt
                            Purse $1,500.000
                              Three Year Olds

 

And while once again we will not see a triple crown try in the Belmont this year it will still be an exciting field. Since the game has started there has been 14 runnings of the race with only 1 trainer ever winning it more than once and that was Mb Stables in 2015 with Deja Steel and on 2017 with Positive Thinking. The fastest running ever of the race was back in 2011 when Crown Heights won in 2:29.37 for Barcelona Farms. The slowest running ever was the next year when it was ran on a muddy track and Wounded In Action won for Rouge River Stables in 2:36.74. There has also never been a jockey win the race more than twice in all of the editions of the race. There has only been one horse ever win the Kentucky Derby and the Belmont and that was Five Fives in 2010. There has also never been a horse win the Preakness and Belmont either. There may be a wet surface also with rain in the forecast. Let’s take a look at the field for this year’s edition.

1. Handsome (7-4-0-1 $555.460), trained by D J C Racing Stables, ridden by C J Lanrie

Last Start: 14th by 6 lengths in the KYD

Last Win: SUN Derby by ¾ of a length on March 25th.

Pedigree: Niagra × Festival (Jolly Be Great)

The first entry from the wizard of Long Island is this gelding by Niagra. He had been on a hot streak until the KYD when he won four of his five starts before leading up to the derby. I know if there is one race D J C Racing Stables wants to win more than the Derby is this race because this is his hometown and he loves running horses on this wonderful weekend of racing.

2. Indistinguishable (11-6-2-0 $2459.500), trained by Mb Stables, ridden by J R Velasquez

Last Start: 1st by a nose in the Prk

Last Win: Prk by a nose on May 19th

Pedigree: Moment Of Madness × In Your Mind (Commanding)

The horse that ruined this year’s Triple Crown bid. It’s not a crazy thing to say that he may have been the most hated horse for a couple hours or days after the Prk. If he wins he may earn the best three year old in the game title but if he doesn’t run any good and Pretty Ferro wins boy oh boy will people be mad he edged him out by a nose at Pimlico.

3. Simple Request (10-3-3-1 $893.120), trained by Saratoga Stud, ridden by R J Albarado

Last Start: 11th by 5 lengths in KYD

Last Win: BG Stakes by one length on April 7th

Pedigree: Frenched Quarters × Stealing Info (Well Informed)

The BG Stakes winner who likes to close with a from way back will be trying to make a sweep of different winners in all three races of the triple crown races. He likes the mud also so if there is rain it will not damage his chances. He’s coming into this race fresh after skipping the Preakness so he might have a better chance with the little freshening.

4. Motor City (10-4-2-1 $797.200), trained by First Class Stable, ridden by R Bejarano

Last Start: 6th by 4 lengths in the MUD

Last Win: Rebel at OP by ¾ of a length on March 17th

Pedigree: General Motors × Lil Choir Girl (Swarley)

One of the deepest closers in the field is right here. He came from eighteenth in the derby to get up for sixth which is pretty impressive to me. He likes to close from far back so a fast pace will help him out a ton. He has a legitimate chance to win if the pace is hot and he can close into it like he usually does.

5. Dream Controlled (9-3-1-1 $348.440), trained by Mb Stables, ridden by J Talamo

Last Start: 7th by 5 lengths in the KYD

Last Win: Withers by three lengths on February 3rd

Pedigree: Controlled Hook × Misty Dreams (Thats Entertainment)

Before the derby this was Mb Stables favorite three year old coming into the derby and he sold a couple and kept a couple out of the field just to see him in the race. His race didn’t go to plan that day and he wound up on the lead and nine times out of ten that’s an impossible task to do. He is highly regarded and definitely has a chance.

6. Stainless Metal (11-1-3-2 $198.520), trained by John Henry, ridden by J J Castellano

Last Start: 2nd beaten a length in the Peter Pan

Last Win: Maiden Special Weight at ELP on September 3rd, 2017

Pedigree: Frenched Quarters × Gun Metal (Folk Art)

The second Frenched Quarters foal in the race and he may not be as good as the other one so far but he is no slouch for sure. He ran second last out at this same exact track in the local prep for the Belmont, the Peter Pan. He had some success early in his career on the turf but has transitioned to the dirt nicely.

7. Zombie City (10-3-5-1 $1090.200), trained by Pan Farms, ridden by A A Gallardo

Last Start: 3rd by 2 lengths in the KYD

Last Win: Risen Star at FG on February 17th

Pedigree: City Of Angels × Zombie Island (Walkin Dead)

The other horse in the field with the word city in his name and this one is the better of the two on paper. He ran a charging third in the derby and then decided to skip the Preakness. He’s another who likes to come from behind most of the time but he has been versatile in the past and ran good from close to the pace.

8. Blindfold (7-4-0-0 $852.020), trained by Mb Stables, ridden by I Ortiz Jr

Last Start: 18th by 10 lengths in the KYD

Last Win: 1st by a half length in the LA Derby

Pedigree: Engine Failure × Breeze On By (Inspector Jacques)

The Louisiana Derby winner came into the derby off the strongest race of his career and threw an absolute clunker. I believe it was the muddy track that is to blame for that performance because he hasn’t ran good on an off track in either of his starts on it. Mb Stables obviously likes him to bring him back in this race.

9. Pretty Ferro (11-7-1-1 $2494.960), trained by Estero Farms, ridden by F Pennington

Last Start: 2nd by a nose in the Prk

Last Win: 1st in the KYD by two lengths on May 5th

Pedigree: Ferro × Pretty One (Generals Out There)

The KYD and almost triple crown bid chance since Fuji Ninja is the best three year old in the game and the best three year old we have seen in a long time. If he had an ounce more racing luck in the Preakness he would have a triple crown shot. He is still the best horse we have seen in a long time and is still the horse to beat.

10. Rumble (8-4-1-1 $394.980), trained by D J C Racing Stables, ridden by Alan Garcia

Last Start: 1st in the Peter Pan by a length

Last Win: 1st in the Peter Pan by a length on May 12th

Pedigree: Mr. Creepy × Earthquake (Smart Deputy)

The local horse with the local trainer going for the upset. Nothing better than that for this race. He won the Peter Pan last out on the same track and will try to be the first horse to win the Peter Pan and Belmont. He is going out to win the race for the wizard of Long Island and will try and be a huge upset win.

11. Sacred Brave (6-1-0-1 $227.150), trained by Blushing Meadows, ridden by J L Ortiz

Last Start: 4th by three quarters of a length in the Ark Derby

Last Win: SB Maiden Special Weight at WO on December 1st, 2017

Pedigree: Doctor Nemesis × Yellow Rose Of Texas (Rene)

This Doctor Nemesis gelding barely missed out on running in the derby. He ran two very good races in triple crown preps when he ran third in the LA Derby and then off a three week rest ran fourth in the Ark Derby. He is coming into the race with a nice freshening and may be a longshot to watch for.

12. Splash Mountain (10-3-2-3 $296.660), trained by Smokey Stover, ridden by J R Leparoux

Last Start: 3rd by half a length in the Ark Derby

Last Win: SB allowance at MTH on August 9th, 2017

Pedigree: Ned Isakoff × Sneaky Alessandra (Sneaky Little Pirate)

This New Jersey bred gelding ran a very impressive race last start when we tried to go wire to wire in the Ark Derby. He’s been battle tested but just can seem to break through in the big races. If he can get to the front like last time and slow down the pace to a pedestrian like speed he will be very tough.

13. Champion In Action (10-3-1-1 $177.000), trained by Night Rider Stables, ridden by R Maragh

Last Start: 1st by half a length in the Sir Barton at PIM

Last Win: Sir Barton at PIM on May 19th

Pedigree: Natural Drummer × Angies Taco Truck (Meals On Wheels)

This Night Rider Stables gelding is coming off a win in the slop on the Preakness undercard in the Sir Barton stakes. He ran a very good race and won very nicely three weeks ago coming from far back in the field to win the race. If he runs a big race he may be this stables new best three year old.

14. Lane Frost (9-4-2-0 $401.440), trained by Sanny Village, ridden by H A Karamanos

Last Start: 8th by 5 lengths in the Prk

Last Win: 1st by three quarters of a length in the Fountain Of Youth on March 3rd

Pedigree: That’s Entertainment × Rhinestone Cowgirl (Destin Grade)

Now if this horse won it would be quite a story. His owner Sanny Village who sadly passed away live in New York not that far from Belmont Park. His real life horse won her first career start at Belmont a few weeks ago. If he wins it would be rather magical and he is my sentimental pick for the race.

15. No Chill (9-3-1-0 $342.510), trained by Team 7 Illusions, ridden by L H Colon

Last Start: 9th by three lengths in the Wood Memorial

Last Win: 1st by a neck in the Juvenile Stallion Stakes on October 29th, 2017

Pedigree: Cherokee Sunset × Gianna (Die Laffin)

This Cherokee Sunset colt has been on hard times on a hard trail of races since his last win last year as a two year old. Maybe he doesn’t like the extra distance and should cut back to sprinting or maybe he just hasn’t been at the right level. I respect the trainer for taking the chance but he is in too tough.

16. Performance Artist (9-2-2-2 $392.050), trained by Serenity Stables, ridden by K J Desormeaux

Last Start: 6th by four lengths in the Prk

Last Win: 1st by one length in the King Glorius on December 16th, 2017

Pedigree: Stars And Bars × Dollar Breed (Proud Chai)

One of the favorites leading up to the derby he looked like a winner at the top of the stretch for a second. He kind of flattened out that day and then never made a legit run last time in the Preakness. I’m not sure if he will love the extra distance and this outside post definitely hampers his chances.

Summary

Obviously the two top dogs are Pretty Ferro and Indistinguishable. They’ve won the first two legs of the triple crown and are coming into this race looking very strong. There is always other horse to look at though and some of those are, Zombie City, Dream Controlled, Rumble, Lane Frost, Blindfold and Performance Artist. If it rains the top two are still the ones to beat but a couple other may jump up like Simple Request, Champion In Action and No Chill. It’s obviously a great race with great horses and of course other factors come into play like post position, trip and pure racing luck. Let’s hope it doesn’t rain and it will be an even greater racing day. Good luck to all in the race.

9-2-7-5



Categories: Grade I, STAKES ARTICLES, TC 2018, The Triple Crown

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