The Lake George – Grade III
 SAR Race #8 1m InTurf Graded Stake
Purse $175.000 For Fillies Three Years Old.

1 Era Of Nebraska TwinTowersRacing Castellano J J 122 —

She has shown a little improvement this year and ran her best lifetime race last time out when a good third in the Soaring Softly. She showed pace there and may make use of the draw here to do so again and if she manages a soft lead could be running a decent race.

2 Align Mb Stables Saez L 122 —

Took a little while to find the winners circle as a two-year-old but she did so at the end of the year and looks an improved three-year-old that has something to offer at this level. So far, she hasn’t made this level, but she ran well enough in the Wonder Again last time to suggest she is working up to a graded stakes win. She won in the mud last time so is proven on any track so that gives the stable some nice balance with their other runner who looks superior on a dry track but less so if it rains.

3 Raw And Real Mb Stables Prat F 122 —

Had her stable mate behind in The Wonder Again despite being pretty comparable in works suggesting she has just a little higher-class rating and maybe a little more heart. She certainly has the right form for this type of race, so I guess the question is what will the trainer or race engine do with them? This looks the on-pacer out of the two whilst Align has been coming from off the pace a little more recently, so that is how it may play out, but let’s face it the race engine can throw some curve balls, so nothing is written in stone.

4 Appealing Decima The Sidley Stud Davis D 122 —

This is a very interesting filly in this race as she had been winning sprints at the fair track before taking a free track stakes race and then running a cracker to be third in the Eatontown last time. She has never been out of the first three but has been racing at lower class suggesting that old theory of race ’em high for improvement is wrong. She certainly proved last time she is no fair track sprinter and has every right to run well here.

5 Pippin Arindel Franco M 122 —

I don’t think we have seen the best of this filly yet and with two seconds at this level she won’t have to improve much to win this even looking race. She was strong to the line last time out over seven furlongs and has won at ungraded level over this trip so must be another chance here. Her works are, and I have used this word a lot recently, pretty much clone-like with the others so the winner may well come from which filly gets the trip required and she is drawn pretty well to go forward or take a sit.

6 Andthentherewerenone Asgar Lezcano J 122 —

She certainly wins the prize for the longest name and has improved this year but may struggle against a few of these today. Unsuited by the wet track last time she won two in a row before that from on the speed and in a race that looks dominated by on pacers, she may just ruin a few plans.

7 Sneaky Panther Nakamura Stables Ortiz I Jr 122 —

Has to go all the way down to LAD to win her second race so that is no recommendation, but the winning time and her works are pretty much in the ‘clone zone’ so it just comes down to timing and her far up the improvement curve she is. On form she may not be good enough but since when has form mattered!

8 Gaga D J C Racing Stables Carmouche K 122 —

I feel she may be a little overlooked in this race as she has never raced on turf, but her dirt form wasn’t bad, and I can’t count the number of times a horse has raced on a surface for the first time and pulled off an improbable looking win. Her turf works may be a little better than her dirt ones so look for some improvement here.

9 Broadway Lady Arindel Velazquez J R 122 —

Consistent around this level but 6 placings against 1 win is sometimes a bit of a warning sign. Her works are in the ‘clone zone’ and she has placed in this grade, so she is in the right race, but I feel she is a trifecta prospect rather than a win one.

SUMMARY

There is a lot of pace in this race or at least a lot of horses that have run well from on the speed so it will be interesting what the race engine does with them. In my experience Mb normally comes out on top in those situations so either of their two with their great draws would be a good choice, but I rather think this race may have a longer priced winner and will go for a little each way on Gaga.

Categories: STAKES ARTICLES