Ginger Lucy Looks Poised for The Long Island

The Long Island (G3) at Aqueduct sends fillies and mares 1 3/8 miles on the Inner Turf for a purse of $250.000. This marathon frequently rewards proven stayers and steady late kicks. While no recent Long Island winner returns here, multiple barns arrive in strong form—Mb Stables doubles up, and Nakamura Stables fields a pair with current momentum. The configuration and trip should make placement and stamina just as important as turn-of-foot.


Horse-by-horse preview (with fair odds)

 1   Nurse Hatchet — Owner/Trainer: D J C Racing Stables — Jockey: Pennington F —
Fair odds: 8-1

Turf specialist (20: 4-8-2) who’s been sharp sprinting this fall—won a 5½f Saratoga allowance (8/30) and just missed in a 6f AQU N4X (9/20). Earlier in August she was second going 1 1/8m at Saratoga. Stamina line says lots of in-the-money results at routes (LONG 13: 1-6-2), though wins at this trip are scarce. Tactical and honest; if she relaxes midpack and stays, she can grab a share and is not impossible to upset late.

 2   Reorganize — Owner/Trainer: Czech Out Farms — Jockey: Gaffalione T —
Fair odds: 5-1

Classy mare with a strong 2025 graded ledger: runner-up in the Diana (G1) (7/12), fourth in the Ballston Spa (G2) (8/8), then a toss result in Woodbine’s Dance Smartly (G2) (10/4). Earlier in spring she won the Gallorette (G3) (5/17) and hit the board in the Santa Ana (G3) (3/15). True router (LONG 20: 6-3-3) who tends to sit close and punch on—major player if she reproduces that midsummer form.

 3   Ginger Lucy — Owner/Trainer: The Sidley Stud — Jockey: Rodriguez Jam —
Fair odds: 3-1

Arrives off a win in the Waya (G3) at 1 3/8m on this circuit (10/5 AQU), exactly today’s distance. Prior graded tries include steady efforts in the Glens Falls (G3) and Beverly D. (G2). Deep resume at trips 1¼m+ (LONG 40: 7-8-7). Profile screams reliability at the configuration; with a similar stalking trip, she’s the one they have to hold off late.

 4   November Storm — Owner/Trainer: Mb Stables — Jockey: Velazquez J R —
Fair odds: 4-1

High-end marathoner with victories at 1½m (PosPer, 6/14; Glens Falls, 7/27) and a runner-up at 1 3/8m in the Sheepshead Bay (G3) (5/2 AQU). Latest Rodeo Drive (G2) fourth (10/4) is a solid prep. Consistent router (TURF 25: 8-6-3) who finishes; should be humming late if the pace is honest.

 5   Superface Party — Owner/Trainer: Mb Stables — Jockey: Lopez P —
Fair odds: 6-1

Arguably in career form: 2nd in the Rodeo Drive (G2) (10/4), earlier 2nd in the Gamely (G1) (5/26), and third in the Modesty (G3) on soft. Proven across 9–12f and competitive at 10f; stretches back out to 11f where her steady cruising speed plays. Live chance from just off the pace.

 6   Beach Body — Owner/Trainer: TwinTowersRacing — Jockey: Franco M —
Fair odds: 10-1

Won the Mint Julep H. (G3) (6/1 CD) and an allowance at TAM (5/2), then faced tough fields in the Diana (G1) and Mabee (G2). Long-trip profile is solid (LONG 15: 3-3-4). When she gets a comfortable rhythm near the front, she’s sticky; if left alone for too long, she could take them a long way.

 7   Right As Rain — Owner/Trainer: Alydar Stables — Jockey: Valdivia J Jr —
Fair odds: 12-1

Captured the Yellow Ribbon H. (G2) (8/9 DMR) at 1 1/16m and owns another statebred stakes win at a mile (3/1 FG). Tested the Modesty (G3) and Shawnee (G3). Stretches to 1 3/8m; pedigree and late run suggest she can get it if rated kindly. Fringe upsetter who benefits if the leaders play games early.

 8   One Spirit — Owner/Trainer: Nakamura Stables — Jockey: Bejarano R —
Fair odds: 7-2

Rock-solid 2025: won the Ladies Marathon (G3) at 1 5/16m (9/6), won the KDPLTM (8/3), then third in the First Lady (G1) (10/4) at a mile. Versatile and tactical (LONG 21: 8-6-3). Brings the right blend of stamina and acceleration—big chance to sit second flight and pounce.

 9   Taketothesky — Owner/Trainer: Nakamura Stables — Jockey: Corrales G —
Fair odds: 6-1

In terrific form: won the CTT & TOC S. (1 3/8m) (8/15 DMR), plus multiple allowance wins through spring/summer. Just missed in a 1m SA allowance (10/25) in a tight finish. Usually forward and stays; proven exactly at today’s trip, making her a pace key and a win candidate.


Pace picture & predicted outcome

Projected pace features Taketothesky and Beach Body prominent early, with Superface Party keeping them honest and One Spirit stalking just behind. Reorganize should secure a perfect tracking lane, while Ginger Lucy and November Storm cue up for sustained late runs; Nurse Hatchet and Right As Rain look to settle and pass tired foes.

Pick: Ginger Lucy to finish best over the long stretch.
Main dangers: One Spirit, November Storm, and Taketothesky.
Value look: Reorganize if she repeats her mid-summer Grade-1 form.



Categories: Grade III, STAKES ARTICLES