The Alabama – Grade I
SAR Race #7 1 1/4m Dirt Graded Stake
Purse $600.000 For Fillies Three Years Old.

1 Creepy Runner Party Mb Stables Gaffalione T 122 —

Already a dual grade one winner this year and drawn the ace, you would have to give her a big chance against her age group here. The only time she has run a bit below par was in the KYO on an off track but with wins in the Acorn and the Ashland is probably closest to the current leading filly in Credit Crime and therefore will be a big winning chance here.

2 Effortlessly TwinTowersRacing Davis D 122 —

There isn’t too much here to think this filly can beat the likes of these but there isn’t much these days between the best and the worst so you just never know.

3 Affair D J C Racing Stables Ortiz I Jr 122 —

I think the key here to her chances come in this 10 furlongs as she closed well enough in the Ashland and the DEL Oaks to think she may appreciate the longer trip. Her last work was pretty good and whilst I can’t see her winning, she could well run into a place.

4 Soliloquy Sunset Nakamura Stables Bejarano R 122 —

I guess the biggest worry about this BC winning filly is the trip as she has been falling away at the end of her races at the top level when ridden on speed. The one time she has come from off the pace was her last win in the Honeybee, but I think that had more to do with the fast early pace than anything else. So if she is on HL again today and she gets on speed, she does look vulnerable even though she ran a cracker in the CCA Oaks last time when finishing in front of the likely favorite for this race. A definite win chance, but she will need to find that lethal finish to get home.

5 Anoushka On Tap Winning Link Stables Corrales G 122–

A bit of a new girl on the block after being claimed from the free track at the start of the year. Her win in the Summertime Oaks from a wide draw was really good, once again disproving that theory that a HRP horse can have its development stunted by running below its class. She ran a tough second in the IND Oaks last time and is a bit of a dark filly in this race that may just give the more established fillies something to think about it.

6 Tactical Spin Alydar Stables Wilson E J 122–

Behind Creepy Runner Party in the Ashland, then in front of her in the KYO and then behind her again in the Acorn, maybe it is her turn to get revenge today as the fillies form gets more and more mixed up. I thought she would win the WO Oaks last time and for me just, just ran a bit like a filly that was just off her best but we all know two races are rarely the same at HRP, so she must be included in the winning chances.

7 Us Against The World Mb Stables Lezcano J 122–

With the wide gate and a front runner’s form line you would expect her to be picked by the race engine as the leader, but she has plenty of speed inside her and will have to work hard to cross them. At best she get the lead, at worst she sets up a speed battle which may well suit her stable mate. Her form though is worth a good look as she won the Black Eyed Susan so is clearly very capable if things go her way.

SUMMARY

OK, so if there is a speed battle and they end up going mad for a half mile it will either set it up for a battle between Creepy Runner Party and Soliloguy Sunset or the Nakamura Stables trained filly will try for that speed battle in which case Creepy Runner Party would look the winner. There are five fillies here out of the seven that would win on any given day, so if you read the race like I do, then I think we must settle on the Mb Stables inside draw.

Categories: Grade I, STAKES ARTICLES