Silverbulletday Stakes [KYO]
FG Race #10 1m 70 Dirt Stake
Purse $150.000 (plus up to $22.50 for LA-breds) For Fillies Three Years Old.
Another early KYO qualifier and another conundrum to work out. The form as usual relies on all sorts of factors from development to achievement and to the ability to stay the trip so this won’t be easy to work out. We have however it seems, under this new engine lost the worry of the draw and slow starts. It seems at this early stage that they will break in a good line and the closers won’t be more than a few lengths back with the wide horses given every chance so with a close finish in sight who could be the lucky ones, here’s how they line up:
1 Genuine Desire Nakamura Stables Elliott S 122 —
Under the old race engine this one always seemed to struggle with the start so this new race engine will certainly help her keep up with the expected slow pace and there is no doubt she will be strong at the end, which could indeed be a winning combination. I still expect her to be shuffled back from the ace draw, but she should be able to sit a couple of lengths off the lead and as long as nothing gets in her way will be there in the stretch. Her last run was in a little race at TAM but she deserved an easy run after a few tough races, and I have seen these three-year-olds flourish after a confidence booster.
2 Be Exceptional TwinTowersRacing Lopez P 122 —
A consistent and proven stakes performer with a perfect draw and proven stamina, for once i can say that a horse from this stable has a huge chance of winning without the proviso that they will have to step up. We are so used to seeing hard-nosed triers from TwinTowers come in at longer odds and against the grain that it seems strange for me to talk about one that has what looks to be a favorites chance. Her second in the Starlet at grade one last time was an excellent effort from a similar draw and although her recent work was a little disappointing, I still fully expect a very competitive effort.
3 Tactfully Mb Stables Saez L 122 —
We all know that this stable will have multiple runners in these KYO and KYD qualifiers and they are always quality animals that are competitive. This one though not prolific in the winner’s circle has some very nice efforts to her name so must be considered although I was a little underwhelmed by her last run. Third in an optional claimer after three money finishes at stakes level you can’t help wondering if she lacks a little desire at the end of her races and because of that I could only see her as a place chance.
4 Chai Beast Serenity Stables Velazquez J R 122 —
After four good efforts in maidens, she finally broke through on Christmas Eve so carries fitness into this race. Though it was only a maiden win, I like the way she saw out the trip and her subsequent works have been very strong, so I suspect we haven’t seen the best of her yet. I would certainly put her in to my calculations and she may well be at rewarding odds so could be worth a flutter.
5 Officer Donaghy Wood Duck Stables Cedillo A 122 —
An interesting entry with two wins from three starts both at claiming level but you can’t knock winning form and the stable is certainly emerging as one of the major players at this level. It’s tough to get a line on her as her two wins have come in sprints and her last on turf but she gets a shot here and could easily be the dark horse in the race.
6 Berry Chai Allinthegate Jaramillo E 122 —
She contested the right races last year but failed to live up to her early promise in the end and she is one that has a question mark next to her name. She looked good in the Debutante and a big tickets allowance at SAR through the summer but didn’t kick on from that. She has had a breakthrough and her works are getting back, so I think she could be more competitive today.
7 Empire Sunset Fractious Hernandez R M 122 —
Just behind Be Exceptional when third in the grade one Starlet it could be said that her wide draw hindered her that day and she will be better suited by the new race engine today, so I expect she has a decent chance of turning the tables. She certainly has the right breeding to turn into a KYO contender and whatever happens today i doubt this will be the last qualifier we see her in.
8 Sioux Flower Mb Stables Alvarado F T 122 —
Another from the stable that only managed the one maiden win she certainly has the works to be competitive, but she also has the question mark over her desire at the end of a race. Two money finishes in stakes race at the end of the year certainly put her in this race and with her last run being on Boxing Day she carries plenty of fitness into the race. As always, from this stable a chance, but I am not convinced she can win.
9 Shining At Knight Our Athletes Geroux F 122 —
If I had to choose one a little out of the box it would be this one. A big-ticket maiden win in her second start she then went straight to the grade two Demoiselle where she ran a highly creditable fourth considering her lack of race craft. Her draw is sticky but not so much of an issue with the new race engine and she has the best works record in the race. She could well be the one it a difficult race.
10 Empty Spaces South Shore Stables Loveberry J 122 —
She has been a long way from this sort of grade in her four starts but has won twice and certainly has some ability there. This may be a hit and hope entry, but she deserves a shot and horses with less form have won stakes races.
11 Celestial Hearts Allinthegate Gaffalione T 122 —
She has raced well at a decent enough level but with six starts we have some sort of line on her ability, and she just has a little more to find if she is going to win this. Her best effort was last time out in the Soviet Problem Stakes on an off track, and it may take those conditions if she is going to have her best chance today.
12 Hard Pinnacle Party Nakamura Stables Centeno D E 124 —
Gets the car park and a penalty which makes things very tough for this filly. Having said that her little stakes win and subsequent effort in the Mazarine BC Stakes are certainly good enough to make her a contender but i have a feeling her best chance to get in the KYO will come in her next race.
SUMMARY
Though the Starlet form looks good here and Empire Sunset and Be Exceptional look form stand outs I am going with potential in this race and will throw my money on Shining At Knight.
Categories: STAKES ARTICLES, Ungraded
