FT Futurity
SA Race #2 5f Dirt Stake
Purse $100.000 For Two Year Olds.
1 Bookie Beater Sim Speed Stable Ayuso A 119 —
Trying to weigh up the form of these maiden winners is really tough, so it often pays to look at winning times and pre-race work times to try and work things out. A good maiden winner back in April in 51 and 4 for the four and a half furlongs he was working 59 and 3 pre-race and has come back with a 1.12 since. Given a sharpen up in a WIC recently he will be ready for this but may find one or two a bit sharper.
2 Sinister Viking Aer Stables Cedillo A 119 —
Third on debut in April he took a competitive maiden at WO last time in 57 and 3 for the five furlongs and has been clocking 1.11 and 2 on the gallops since. It looks like the $155.000 spent securing him pre-race from The Freakshow was well spent and with the perfect draw I am expecting a big run.
3 Space Pirate Allinthegate Vazquez R A 119 —
Just got home in a State bred maiden at SA last time clocking 51 and 1 for the four and a half furlongs he has been working 1.11 and 3 and 58 and 3 since and that puts him in the top half of chances for this race. Whilst he has certainly found some improvement and gets a great draw, he may be more of a place chance here than a winning one.
4 Grandview Axeman Dettori L 119 —
Took his maiden at Lone Star in 51 and 4 for the four and a half furlongs and has since managed a 1.12 and 3 for his six furlong works. Respectable times and a good win but on those two points he will need to find a fair bit of improvement to win this.
5 Plumbus TwinTowersRacing Bravo J 119 —
Took his maiden at CT in 51 and 3 for the four and a half and has worked a creditable 1.11 and 4 and 58 and 4 since. Those works and race times put him in the top six, so he has chances, but I am not sure they are winning ones.
6 Burner Phone Riggins Racing Maldonado E 119 —
There is an advantage in two runs so this one comes into it after winning his debut at SA in 51 and 1 for the four and a half furlongs and then competing in the KY Juvenile last time. Up on the speed he just faded a little at the end but has managed a 58 and 1 five-furlong work since then which put him into the top three or four. Experience will count for a lot, but he will need to save a little more for the end than he did last time.
7 Got Next Fractious Gonzalez Ru 119 —
Took out his maiden at GG in 45 and 2 for the four furlongs and has come back to a 1.11 and 2 work. Comparing his post-race works I wonder whether he will be better over further, but he had enough pace to win over four so at this point it is probably not an issue. He may be the dark horse here.
8 Exemplary Mb Stables Rispoli U 119 —
The winner of an SA State bred maiden on debut in 51 and 3 for the four and a half furlongs he has been working well since, but I wouldn’t say he is standing out on that. Of course, he has the soft hands of Mb Stables to guide him and there is no-one better at winning than him, so a big run has to be expected.
9 Bogart Avenue Z Van Dyke D 119 —
Bounced back quickly to take advantage of the first-time starters to win his maiden at SA in April. His works haven’t been noteworthy but experience can count for a bit in these races so he may be a top six contender if he can cope with the awkward draw.
10 Three Bells TwinTowersRacing Espinoza V 119 —
He was very impressive at PIM in his second race taking out a maiden very easily on an off track. The off-track form is the worry, but he worked a 1.11 and 4 pre that second start so there is clearly ability there. The draw will make it tough for him, but he may be the best of the stable runners.
11 Max Party La Canada Racehorses Gutierrez Mario 119 —
Won his maiden at SA in 51 and 1 for the four and a half furlongs but more significantly worked a 1.11 and 1 on that track recently which is very, very good at this time of year for a juvenile. The draw is the killer here although as often happens with stables and horses he is no stranger to a wide draw, and I would still be giving him a winning chance.
12 Viking Lucifer Rock Creek Smith M E 119 —
Finally skittering about in the car park, we find this colt who took his five-furlong maiden in 57 and 3 and has worked a solid 1.11 and 3 since. I would say the draw will be his biggest obstacle here, but he is in with a chance of the AI and race engine go in his favor.
SUMMARY
As always, a tough race to call but I think Max Party and Sinister Viking may be the two here to fight it out. Plenty of other chances though and I doubt more than a couple of lengths will cover the whole field at the end so there is some room for everything in the AI lottery.
Categories: STAKES ARTICLES, Ungraded