BC Dirt Mile Points Top 15+
It gets a bit odd in this one as three of the win-and-you’re-in horses are
not in the Top 15 in points. This can be a deceiving list as many of these may run in The Classic, so as Forrest says, you don’t know what you’re going to get. Horses in red have already qualified with a Win And You’re In victory.
HORSE NAME PTS Earnings
1 Fawkes 24 1,515.00
Right off the bat, I think we have a horse that will probably go in The Classic, but I could be wrong. A pair of wins for this 3yo, taking the Wood (GII) on the TC Trail, and took one of the summertime classics, The Haskel (GI). Last out, he was third in the PA Derby (GI) but I think distance is his friend.
2 Edward The Good 21 1,162.50
He was second in this race a year ago, closing fast to be a length back on the wire. He sold after that race and had a three-race win streak taking the Commonwealth (GIII) at KEE, the CD (GI) and the True North (GIII) at SAR. Another that may choose a different path, this time in the sprint vs. the mile.
3 Distant Breeze 20 1,466.00
This 6yo has been solid this year winning five of nine, with a pair of runner-up efforts, and he certainly fits the “miler” look. All of his wins have either been graded or big purses, and I think he is the current favorite for this race. You’d best pack a lunch if you want to head him.
4 Ineedu2party 20 1,001.50
Four wins from seven starts, Maxmillion Farm may be aiming this one more towards the Sprint than this race. He has run the mile distance all year, although he did win the Stephens (GI) at seven panels. He has speed to spare, but don’t look for him to be in the gate for this race.
5 Daemon 20 1,500.00
Things were all roses for this sophomore, six consecutive wins… right up to the KYD (GI), and then… Well, it’s been a tough road since then. He has tired in every start after and hasn’t hit the board in any of those races. I’m not sure what the next step is for this one, but he’s a gelding so I know what isn’t in the plans.
6 All Take 20 1,065.00
The confusion continues for this race – the Alydar Stables 6yo has four wins this year, but his only mile race was a last of fourteen effort in the Met Mile (GI). His best races have come at long distances, so does he go in the Classic?
7 No Real Drama 18 2,110.00
The Asgar trained PRK (GI) winner used speed to run the competition into the ground. Wire-to-wire win last out in the PA Derby (GI) so he’s really built to be a monster in this race. He’s never faced older horses, but I think he’s got a big, big chance if they go this way.
8 Berlin 18 1,634.00
A pair of wins for this 7yo gelding, and he’s put some major cash in the bank for The Sidley Stud, winning both the PIM Special (GIII) and the CT Classic (GII). He is another that has tactical speed and I’m not sure where he goes next, but he could be a solid contender here.
9 Lunar Victory 18 869.00
Will Mb Stables brings the defending champ back this year? I’d have to think so. He won the GP Mile (GII) back in Mar and took the Blame (GIII)(DH) in May, but he’s been off the board in his next three starts, so the big barn is going to have to find some old magic if he is to repeat.
10 Extreme Jet 17 5,839.00
The KYD (GI) / BEL (GI) winner has been such a big horse in every way imaginable… but the barn is not pleased with his current form and seems to be folding before all of the cards are delt. Posturing by the big barn? Is it really the end? Does he even run in this race or goes in the Classic? So, so many questions… I have no answers. But… if he does run here, watch out.
11 Obi Wan 17 1,298.00
Another from the Mb band, and one of my favs all year… but what happened in the PA Derby (GI)? He hung around for 5-6 furlongs and then went back to the barn… not like him. He won the BG Stakes (GI) at KEE and the Dandy (GII) at SAR, so when he’s right, he can run with anyone… but…
12 The Golden Age 15 954.00
Four seasonal wins for this one, and yet another from the Mb barn, but he was super-hot back in the spring, only to cool off a bet thru the summer, and so on. He did win the IND Derby (GIII), but has been mediocre of late… also, I’m not sure the mile is his best distance. It will be interesting to see what they do with this one.
13 Wahpekute Sioux 14 1,035.20
We got on the Mb train and it keeps rolling as this, again, another one of my favs, has been very, very consistent thru his 5yo campaign, showing a 2-2-1 record from seven starts. He was second in the BC Classic (GI) last year, and I’d think they will take him in that direction again.
14 Boss Spearman 14 2,178.60
This one switched over to the John Henry barn after the Wood Duck Disbursement sale, and he’s still looking to get back on-track. A fourth in the BEL (GI) and again this past weekend in the WV Breeders Classic, I’m just not sure what they will do.
15 Electric 14 530.00
At seven years of age, the Angelos Stable owned gelding has rekindled the fire and is knocking down some bit races. Back-to-back wins in the Bold Venture (GIII) at WO and the Vosberg (GIII) at AQU proves that he is far from ready to head to HRP Old Friends. All four of his seasonal wins have been graded… can they land a BC victory?
24 Quiet Return 10 1,220.00
A win and you’re in via the Met Mile (GI), he came back to take the JC Gold Cup (GI) so it’s hard to tell if they will go here or the Classic. Either way, I think John Henry has a big horse ready to run a big race on the biggest stage.
29 Capiche 10 360.48
Another instant ticket for this one, winning the Forego (GI) at SAR, he was back to a lackluster effort for Robeth in the Ack Ack (GIII). This is an all or nothing sort at this point, and I’m not sure who shows up.
41 Excogitator 7 427.20
Goes to the gate for his victory in the Obrien (GII) at DMR, and that could prove to be the key point, winning over the track. Claimed for $20.000, I’m sure a lot of people will be cheering for Family Racing to get their second graded win on the game’s biggest stage.
Categories: BC 2025, THE BREEDERS CUP