The Coronation Cup will be run on Saturday, July 18, 2026, at Saratoga as Race #5, a Grade III turf sprint for three-year-old fillies at 5 1/2 furlongs carrying a purse of $225.000. First contested in 2012, the race has been won in recent years by Miss Fury, Eye Catching, and 2025 winner Matey. Mb Stables, which won the 2018, 2023, and 2024 editions, returns with Sioux Spirit and has an opportunity to add a fourth Coronation Cup victory. D J C Racing Stables and jockey Velazquez J R are also among the race’s multiple past-winning connections, although neither is represented this year.
1. Breathtaking — Big Guns Stables / Prat F — Odds: 8/1
Breathtaking returns to turf after five consecutive dirt starts, including a third in the Eight Belles-G2 and placings in the Santa Anita Oaks-G2 and Santa Ysabel-G3. Her turf record is strong at 4-2-0-1, and she won both a statebred maiden and a statebred allowance over the surface last season. She has not raced at a sprint distance on turf since those earlier starts, but her ability to stay close to the pace on dirt suggests that the cutback may be manageable. She has a credible chance if she transfers her graded dirt form back to turf.
2. Spruill — Luz International / Ortiz I Jr — Odds: 4/1
Spruill enters off a victory against older fillies and mares in a five-furlong optional claimer at Churchill, where she advanced from fourth and won by a neck. She owns three wins from six turf starts and previously won at both six furlongs and 5 1/2 furlongs. Her only graded attempt came around two turns in the Florida Oaks-G3, where she finished well back, but sprinting is clearly her stronger assignment. She is a major contender because of her current form, established turf-sprint record, and ability to win without controlling the early pace.
3. Franklymydearscarlet — Big Jd Racing / Rodriguez Jam — Odds: 2/1
Franklymydearscarlet brings the strongest direct stakes form into the Coronation Cup. She won the Soaring Softly-G3 at Saratoga on June 7 at this same 5 1/2-furlong distance, taking command at the second call and maintaining a clear advantage through the finish. That victory followed a front-running allowance score at Churchill, giving her two consecutive wins and four victories from eight turf starts. She has repeatedly shown effective early speed and is the most accomplished runner in the field at the exact course and distance. She is the horse to beat.
4. Sioux Spirit — Mb Stables / Esquivel E — Odds: 10/1
Sioux Spirit has made only two starts but improved sharply when stretched from five furlongs to 5 1/2 furlongs. She broke her maiden at Santa Anita on June 12 after advancing from fifth and getting up by a nose. Her first start produced a fifth-place finish, so she has already demonstrated meaningful development with experience. This Grade III race is a substantial class rise, but her closing maiden victory at today’s distance gives her some upside. She is a live longshot if she takes another step forward.
5. Sims — Royalty Stables / Lopez P — Odds: 5/2
Sims has won two of three starts and has never finished worse than second. She captured a six-furlong statebred stake at Aqueduct on June 13 after sitting fourth through the opening calls and prevailing by a head. She also won a five-furlong maiden at Tampa and missed by only a nose in her debut. Her ability to finish from just behind the leaders makes her well suited to a race containing several speed-oriented fillies. She is the primary danger to Franklymydearscarlet.
Pace Structure & Race Outlook
Franklymydearscarlet has shown the most dependable early speed, having led throughout her Churchill allowance victory and taken control by the second call in the Soaring Softly-G3. She is the most likely runner to establish the pace.
Spruill has raced successfully from just behind the leaders, while Sims has also produced her best efforts from a stalking position. Breathtaking has regularly raced near the pace on dirt and may be prominent during the opening stages as she returns to turf. Sioux Spirit has shown a more patient pattern and may be the runner attempting to close from the rear.
Franklymydearscarlet could gain a decisive tactical advantage if she reaches the lead without facing sustained pressure. Sims and Spruill appear best positioned to challenge during the final stages, while Breathtaking must prove that her recent dirt form will translate effectively to a short turf sprint.
Projected Winner
Top Selection: Franklymydearscarlet
Franklymydearscarlet receives the call after winning the Soaring Softly-G3 over the same Saratoga course and 5 1/2-furlong distance. Her current two-race winning streak, proven graded form, and reliable early speed give her the strongest overall profile.
Main Danger: Sims
Sims is two-for-three and enters after defeating statebred stakes company at six furlongs. Her stalking style may give her the first opportunity if the leader begins to weaken.
Best Value: Spruill
Spruill has won three of six turf starts and recently defeated older runners at Churchill. She is proven at the distance and does not require the lead to succeed.
Live Longshot: Sioux Spirit
Sioux Spirit is lightly raced and enters after a late-running maiden victory at 5 1/2 furlongs. The class rise is significant, but further improvement could place her in contention.
Categories: Grade III, STAKES ARTICLES
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